职称英语阅读理解习题
PASSAGE 26 Looking to the Future
When a magazine for high-school students asked its readers what life would be like in twenty years, they said: Machines would be run by solar power. Buildings would rotate so they could follow the sun to take maximum advantage of its light and heat Walls would radiate light and change color with the push of a button. Food would be replaced by pills. School would be taught by electrical impulse while we sleep. Cars would have radar. Does this sound like the year 2000? Actually, the article was written in 1958 and the question was, what will life be like in 1978?
The future is much too important to simply guess about, the way the high school students did, so experts are regularly asked to predict accurately. By carefully studying the present, skilled businessmen, scientists, and politicians are supposedly able to figure out in advance what will happen. But can they? One expert on cities wrote: Cities of the future would not be crowded, but would have space for farms and fields. People would travel to work in airbuses, large all-weather helicopters carrying up to 200 passengers. When a person left the airbus station he could drive a coin-operated car equipped with radar. The radar equipment of cars would make traffic accidents almost unheard of. Does that sound familiar? If the expert had been accurate it would, because he was writing in 1957. His subject was The city of 1982.
If the professionals sometimes sound like high-school students, its probably because future study is still a new field. But economic forecasting, or predicting what the economy will do, has been around for a long time. It should be accurate, and generally it is. But there have been some big market in the field, too. In early 1929, most forecasters saw an excellent future for the stock market. In October of that year, the stock market had its worst losses ever, ruining thousands of investors who had put their faith in financial foreseers.
One forecaster knew that predictions about the future would always be subject to significant error. In 1957, H.J.Rand of the Rad corporation was asked about the year 2000, "Only one thing is certain," he answered. "Children born today will have reached the age of 43."
当杂志高中学生问读者什么生活会在二十年内，就像他们说：机器将运行的太阳能。建筑将使他们能跟随太阳转动，以最大限度地利用它的光和热的墙壁“发光”和“改变颜色的按钮。”食品将取代丸。学校会教”的冲动，而我们的睡眠。”汽车将雷达。这听起来像是2000年?实际上，这篇文章是写在1958和问题，“1978的生活会是什么样的?”
未来很重要，只是猜测，这样的高中学生，所以专家们经常要求准确预测。通过仔细研究本，熟练的商人和政治家，科学家，理应能够提前弄明白将要发生什么。但他们会吗?一位专家写道：对城市未来的城市将不拥挤，但会有空间和领域。人们旅游的工作“空中客车”，大型全天候直升机载有200名乘客。当一个人离开了空中客车站他能开车投币车配备雷达。雷达设备的汽车将使交通事故“几乎没有”。听起来耳熟吗?如果专家已经准确的它，因为他所写的1957。他的主题是“1982市”。
如果专业人员有时听起来像高中的'学生，这可能是因为未来的研究还是一个新的领域。但经济预测，或预测经济会做的，已经很长时间了。它应该是准确的，一般是。但也有一些在该领域的大市场，太。1929年初，大多数观察家看到一个优秀的未来股票市场。在这一年的十月，股市有其最严重的损失，破坏了投资者把他们的信仰在金融foreseers千。
一员知道，预测未来将永远受到重大错误。1957，在RAD公司h.j.rand是大约2000年问，“只有一件事是肯定的，”他回答说。”孩子天生的今天将达到43岁。”
1. The high-school students' answers to "What would life be like in 1978?" sound
A) accurate.
B) imaginative.
C) correct.
D) foolish.
2. According to the writer, forecasting is fairly accurate in
A) politics.
B) science.
C) sociology.
D) economy.
3. Which of the following statements is not compatible with the writer's comment on future study?
A) Predictions should be accurate
B) Professional sometimes sound like high-school students
C) There have been some big mistakes in the field of economic forecasting.
D) Predictions about future would always be subject to significant errors.
4. The passage "Looking to the Future" was most probably written
A) in 1982
B) in 1958
C) after 1958
D) in 1957
5. H.J.Rand's prediction about the year 2000 shows that
A) it is easy to figure out in advance what will happen
B) it is difficult to figure out in advance what will happen
C) only professionals can figure out in advance what will happen
D) very few professionals figure out in advance what will happen
KEY: BDACB
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